Southern
SWAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−11.2 pts · likely #86–122
Strength of schedule
20.8
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
3.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.213
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 63.9%
Remaining SOS
16.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 34-29 | −18.5 | +0.5 | 0.033 | 4 | −12.8 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 14-31 | +3.2 | 0.0 | 0.347 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 2 | vs Alabama State | L 7-30 | −0.8 | −0.5 | 0.243 | 3 | −20.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Jackson State · p 0.513
- Wk 7: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.120
- Wk 8: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.102
- Wk 9: vs Florida A&M · p 0.221
- Wk 10: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.036
- Wk 11: at Alcorn State · p 0.089
- Wk 12: vs Texas Southern · p 0.089
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.185
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-56