Alabama State
SWAC · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#47
+3.4 pts · likely #18–84
Strength of schedule
11.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
11.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
17.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −8.9 | +0.5 | 0.118 | 3 | +12.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Florida A&M · p 0.240
- Wk 6: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.108
- Wk 7: at Jackson State · p 0.538
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.233
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.114
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.089
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.035
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.031
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9