San Diego
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#94
−5.2 pts · likely #58–110
Strength of schedule
51.0
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
51.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.361
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
13.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | L 17-41 | −4.8 | −0.5 | 0.167 | 3 | −21.8 |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 30-27 OT | +10.1 | −0.5 | 0.517 | 1 | +8.5 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 7-41 | +23.4 | +0.5 | 0.845 | 1 | −8.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Princeton · p 0.215
- Wk 5: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.291
- Wk 6: at Marist · p 0.086
- Wk 7: vs Drake · p 0.316
- Wk 9: at Davidson · p 0.023
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.072
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.029
- Wk 12: vs Butler · p 0.128
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.007