Montana State
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#3
+24.8 pts · likely #1–7
Strength of schedule
51.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
17.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.708
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
39.8
13 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs South Dakota State | L 24-30 OT | +25.3 | −0.5 | 0.859 | 1 | +22.5 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 41-7 | −4.2 | −0.5 | 0.176 | 3 | +28.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.224
- Wk 5: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.352
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.481
- Wk 7: vs Idaho State · p 0.154
- Wk 9: at Cal Poly · p 0.359
- Wk 10: at Northern Colorado · p 0.181
- Wk 11: vs Weber State · p 0.335
- Wk 12: vs UC Davis · p 0.554
- Wk 13: at Montana · p 0.609
- Wk 15: vs Yale · p 0.451
- Wk 16: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.402
- Wk 17: vs (N) Illinois State · p 0.481
- Wk 17: vs Montana · p 0.585
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 13-59