Nicholls State
Southland · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#67
+0.4 pts · likely #33–93
Strength of schedule
51.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
59.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.778
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 33.3%
Remaining SOS
32.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +12.9 | −0.5 | 0.593 | 1 | +19.8 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +6.7 | −0.5 | 0.426 | 2 | −14.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.450
- Wk 6: at Lamar · p 0.473
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.426
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.304
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.186
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.184
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.053
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.530
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38