Incarnate Word
Southland · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#34
+6.3 pts · likely #13–69
Strength of schedule
29.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
42.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
32.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −6.0 | +0.5 | 0.163 | 3 | −13.2 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +6.5 | −0.5 | 0.422 | 2 | +13.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Northern Arizona · p 0.481
- Wk 5: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.508
- Wk 6: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.402
- Wk 8: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.128
- Wk 9: at UTRGV · p 0.184
- Wk 10: vs Lamar · p 0.448
- Wk 11: at Northwestern State · p 0.060
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.505
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.203
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48