Murray State
MVFC · 0-2 vs FCS · 0-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−11.0 pts · likely #85–122
Strength of schedule
46.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
55.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +5.9 | +0.5 | 0.430 | 2 | −19.1 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +9.4 | −0.5 | 0.498 | 2 | −11.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at South Dakota · p 0.532
- Wk 7: vs Illinois State · p 0.469
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.869
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.565
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.579
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.438
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.601
- Wk 13: at Indiana State · p 0.359
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37