East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#22
+8.4 pts · likely #10–59
Strength of schedule
33.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
11.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
27.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −8.3 | −0.5 | 0.114 | 3 | +16.5 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +10.4 | +0.5 | 0.552 | 1 | +6.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Elon · p 0.452
- Wk 5: vs Mercer · p 0.361
- Wk 6: at Furman · p 0.237
- Wk 7: vs VMI · p 0.080
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.352
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.280
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.095
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.346
- Wk 13: vs The Citadel · p 0.252
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72