Southern Illinois
MVFC · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#13
+14.5 pts · likely #6–23
Strength of schedule
50.2
#8 of 129
Strength of victory
35.8
#13
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | W 37-10 | +7.2 | +1.6 | 0.494 | 2 | +34.4 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 59-31 | −0.2 | +1.6 | 0.302 | 2 | +28.4 |
| 6 | vs Indiana State | W 55-27 | −1.8 | −1.6 | 0.200 | 3 | +23.2 |
| 7 | at North Dakota State | L 17-45 | +30.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 49-3
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 17-34