South Dakota
MVFC · 10-3 vs FCS · 10-4 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 4.0% of the time
Power
#8
+16.6 pts · likely #4–17
Strength of schedule
47.2
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
42.0
#6
Record SOS
0.581
Opp. 59.6% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
81.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lamar | L 13-20 | +4.8 | +1.6 | 0.429 | 2 | −1.3 |
| 3 | vs Northern Colorado | W 24-17 OT | −4.6 | −1.6 | 0.152 | 3 | −2.8 |
| 4 | vs Drake | W 42-21 | +1.0 | −1.6 | 0.259 | 2 | +19.4 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 13-51 | +29.5 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 17: at Montana · p 0.810
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 7-55