Western Carolina
Southern · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#35
+6.3 pts · likely #22–58
Strength of schedule
26.6
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
20.5
#52
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 44.8% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | L 45-52 | +0.8 | −1.6 | 0.253 | 2 | −6.9 |
| 3 | vs Elon | L 31-37 | +3.9 | −1.6 | 0.326 | 2 | −2.6 |
| 4 | vs Samford | W 50-35 | −15.1 | −1.6 | 0.041 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 5 | at Campbell | W 42-35 | −4.6 | +1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-42