The Citadel
Southern · 3-7 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#74
−2.3 pts · likely #55–95
Strength of schedule
35.8
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
13.5
#78
Record SOS
0.507
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 48.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Dakota State | L 0-38 | +30.5 | −1.6 | 0.913 | 1 | −6.6 |
| 2 | at Samford | W 40-13 | −12.9 | +1.6 | 0.084 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 13-23 | +1.6 | +1.6 | 0.347 | 2 | −7.1 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 0-38 | +10.0 | −1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Valdosta StateDII · W 38-14
- Wk 11: at Ole MissFBS · L 0-49