Villanova
CAA · 10-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 4.8% of the time
Power
#8
+16.1 pts · likely #4–20
Strength of schedule
34.7
#50 of 129
Strength of victory
32.9
#16
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 58.4% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
71.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +0.3 | −1.6 | 0.242 | 3 | +5.4 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +8.3 | +1.6 | 0.526 | 1 | −7.5 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +4.8 | −1.6 | 0.348 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +9.6 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.757
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.828
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.553
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52