Stony Brook
CAA · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#40
+5.5 pts · likely #26–60
Strength of schedule
30.0
#68 of 129
Strength of victory
13.6
#79
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 48.4% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +12.8 | −1.6 | 0.558 | 1 | −1.6 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −9.3 | −1.6 | 0.088 | 4 | +11.6 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | +0.6 | +1.6 | 0.324 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | −4.4 | −1.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42