Southern
SWAC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#120
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−18.6 pts · likely #114–127
Strength of schedule
22.3
#103 of 129
Strength of victory
4.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
12.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 34-29 | −17.9 | +2.1 | 0.046 | 4 | −11.7 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 14-31 | +7.9 | 0.0 | 0.472 | 2 | −9.7 |
| 2 | vs Alabama State | L 7-30 | +8.7 | −2.1 | 0.435 | 2 | −16.9 |
| 5 | vs Jackson State | L 13-38 | +8.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Alcorn State · p 0.138
- Wk 12: vs Texas Southern · p 0.087
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.154
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-56