Alabama State
SWAC · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#27
+8.1 pts · likely #14–54
Strength of schedule
20.0
#109 of 129
Strength of victory
13.2
#74
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 57.9% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
5.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −18.6 | +2.1 | 0.042 | 4 | +6.5 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −10.2 | +2.1 | 0.123 | 3 | +19.1 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −4.9 | −2.1 | 0.139 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +8.4 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.087
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.041
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.030
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9