Monmouth
CAA · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#26
+8.7 pts · likely #12–51
Strength of schedule
31.2
#61 of 129
Strength of victory
24.7
#39
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 39.5% · Opp. opp. 57.0%
Remaining SOS
52.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 27-42 | +3.2 | +2.1 | 0.400 | 2 | −8.1 |
| 2 | vs Lafayette | L 35-40 | −0.5 | −2.1 | 0.217 | 3 | −5.6 |
| 3 | at Maine | W 51-22 | +7.0 | +2.1 | 0.502 | 1 | +35.4 |
| 5 | vs Fordham | W 63-21 | −6.4 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Rhode Island · p 0.569
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.549
- Wk 12: vs Villanova · p 0.496
- Wk 13: at Stony Brook · p 0.497
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Florida InternationalFBS · W 45-42