Lafayette
Patriot · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#58
+1.5 pts · likely #35–83
Strength of schedule
25.9
#87 of 129
Strength of victory
20.8
#50
Record SOS
0.397
Opp. 36.1% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
18.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.179
- Wk 11: at Colgate · p 0.183
- Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.038
- Wk 13: at Lehigh · p 0.338
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 13-30