Harvard
Ivy · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 49% of the time
Power
#13
+11.6 pts · likely #7–40
Strength of schedule
26.6
#78 of 129
Strength of victory
27.2
#30
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 40.6% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
40.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Harvard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Stetson | W 35-0 | −27.0 | −2.1 | 0.005 | 4 | +7.4 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 28-31 | −3.6 | +2.1 | 0.237 | 3 | −2.6 |
| 6 | vs New Hampshire | W 28-23 | +8.8 | −2.1 | 0.439 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 7 | at Cornell | W 38-20 | −2.1 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Dartmouth · p 0.530
- Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.343
- Wk 12: at Penn · p 0.349
- Wk 13: vs Yale · p 0.379