Brown
Ivy · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#73
−1.8 pts · likely #48–98
Strength of schedule
30.5
#63 of 129
Strength of victory
32.4
#14
Record SOS
0.540
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
40.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Georgetown | W 26-14 | −2.9 | +2.1 | 0.252 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 5 | vs Harvard | W 31-28 | +13.1 | −2.1 | 0.555 | 1 | +12.5 |
| 6 | vs Bryant | L 35-42 | −10.5 | −2.1 | 0.072 | 4 | −16.9 |
| 7 | at Rhode Island | L 21-31 | +9.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Penn · p 0.252
- Wk 11: at Yale · p 0.489
- Wk 12: vs Columbia · p 0.343
- Wk 13: at Dartmouth · p 0.530