Western Illinois
OVC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#99
−6.9 pts · likely #67–116
Strength of schedule
35.1
#37 of 129
Strength of victory
19.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 61.1%
Remaining SOS
28.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 34-51 | +8.0 | +1.8 | 0.520 | 1 | −7.6 |
| 6 | at Charleston Southern | W 31-20 | −8.9 | +1.8 | 0.137 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | vs UT Martin | L 17-45 | +10.3 | −1.8 | 0.489 | 2 | −17.5 |
| 8 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 37-21 | +1.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.253
- Wk 10: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.180
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee State · p 0.195
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.617
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.170
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 15-54
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 3-77
- Wk 5: vs McKendreeDII · W 49-32