St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−12.7 pts · likely #90–123
Strength of schedule
13.4
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
1.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.300
Opp. 18.3% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
15.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | L 10-17 | +4.2 | −1.7 | 0.332 | 2 | −5.9 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 0-64 | −6.0 | +1.7 | 0.182 | 3 | −36.1 |
| 6 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −23.2 | −1.7 | 0.011 | 4 | −13.8 |
| 7 | at Marist | W 39-32 | −25.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Valparaiso · p 0.030
- Wk 9: vs San Diego · p 0.122
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.058
- Wk 11: vs Drake · p 0.247
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.334
- Wk 13: vs Dayton · p 0.129
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Sioux FallsDII · L 13-34
- Wk 3: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 24-14