Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#53
+2.8 pts · likely #27–81
Strength of schedule
47.4
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
4.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.594
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
55.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Valparaiso | W 35-7 | −19.5 | −1.7 | 0.020 | 4 | +6.6 |
| 2 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 17-10 | −14.9 | +1.7 | 0.066 | 4 | −4.1 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 3-41 | +35.2 | −1.7 | 0.953 | 1 | −0.8 |
| 7 | at South Dakota | L 17-42 | +23.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at North Dakota · p 0.660
- Wk 9: vs Missouri State · p 0.644
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.894
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.519
- Wk 13: vs Indiana State · p 0.157
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 3-34
- Wk 4: at Hawai'iFBS · L 7-36