Southern Utah
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#23
+10.1 pts · likely #10–48
Strength of schedule
42.3
#21 of 129
Strength of victory
47.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.653
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
33.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UC Davis | L 21-24 | +8.5 | −1.7 | 0.442 | 2 | +4.9 |
| 4 | at Idaho State | L 28-38 | −5.1 | +1.7 | 0.200 | 3 | −9.9 |
| 5 | at Austin Peay | W 28-17 | +4.1 | +1.7 | 0.413 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 6 | vs Tarleton State | L 37-38 OT | +11.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.261
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.430
- Wk 11: vs North Alabama · p 0.298
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.634
- Wk 13: vs Utah Tech · p 0.046
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 0-49
- Wk 2: at UTEPFBS · W 27-24