Austin Peay
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#46
+3.7 pts · likely #26–77
Strength of schedule
35.6
#42 of 129
Strength of victory
26.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 39.0% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
38.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Southern Illinois | L 17-31 | +0.9 | −1.7 | 0.254 | 2 | −12.8 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-45 | +9.7 | +1.7 | 0.564 | 1 | −14.8 |
| 4 | vs Alabama A&M | W 59-16 | +1.2 | −1.7 | 0.261 | 2 | +28.7 |
| 5 | vs Southern Utah | L 17-28 | +8.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Utah Tech · p 0.073
- Wk 9: vs Tarleton State · p 0.528
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.380
- Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.345
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.428
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.582
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-62