Samford
Southern · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#51
+2.9 pts · likely #26–83
Strength of schedule
25.0
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
12.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.327
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
36.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at West Georgia | L 29-38 | −4.0 | +1.7 | 0.221 | 3 | −9.4 |
| 3 | vs Alabama State | W 12-7 | −1.1 | −1.7 | 0.214 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 6 | vs VMI | W 27-3 | −15.7 | −1.7 | 0.037 | 4 | +6.6 |
| 7 | at East Tennessee State | L 28-31 | +8.4 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Mercer · p 0.617
- Wk 9: at The Citadel · p 0.145
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.217
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.259
- Wk 12: at Chattanooga · p 0.667
- Wk 13: vs Western Carolina · p 0.310
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at FloridaFBS · L 7-45