Alabama State
SWAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#66
−0.6 pts · likely #39–93
Strength of schedule
25.5
#87 of 129
Strength of victory
3.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.403
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 37.5%
Remaining SOS
18.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 24-31 | +10.1 | 0.0 | 0.530 | 1 | +3.2 |
| 3 | at Samford | L 7-12 | +2.3 | +1.7 | 0.367 | 2 | −0.4 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 26-21 | −16.2 | +1.7 | 0.055 | 4 | −7.5 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 13-28 | +3.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.160
- Wk 10: vs (N) Alcorn State · p 0.144
- Wk 11: at Grambling State · p 0.264
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.298
- Wk 13: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.061
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 24-3