Monmouth
CAA · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#24
+10.0 pts · likely #10–50
Strength of schedule
37.5
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
26.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
42.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 27-42 | +5.0 | +1.7 | 0.438 | 2 | −5.8 |
| 2 | vs Lafayette | L 35-40 | −0.8 | −1.7 | 0.219 | 3 | −5.0 |
| 3 | at Maine | W 51-22 | +3.7 | +1.7 | 0.402 | 2 | +31.2 |
| 5 | vs Fordham | W 63-21 | −6.8 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Bryant · p 0.185
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.370
- Wk 10: at Rhode Island · p 0.461
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.629
- Wk 12: vs Villanova · p 0.611
- Wk 13: at Stony Brook · p 0.294
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Florida InternationalFBS · W 45-42