Lafayette
Patriot · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#55
+1.6 pts · likely #31–86
Strength of schedule
26.0
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
25.3
#27
Record SOS
0.408
Opp. 35.3% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
22.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.081
- Wk 9: vs Holy Cross · p 0.458
- Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.196
- Wk 11: at Colgate · p 0.216
- Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.029
- Wk 13: at Lehigh · p 0.357
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 13-30