Grambling State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.1 pts · likely #45–103
Strength of schedule
18.2
#113 of 129
Strength of victory
28.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 52.9% · Opp. opp. 37.6%
Remaining SOS
12.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Grambling State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at East Texas A&M | W 35-28 OT | −8.8 | +1.7 | 0.137 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 4 | vs Jackson State | W 41-20 | +8.3 | −1.7 | 0.436 | 2 | +22.5 |
| 5 | vs (N) Prairie View A&M | L 34-36 OT | −14.0 | 0.0 | 0.059 | 4 | −13.6 |
| 7 | vs Alcorn State | L 15-17 | −8.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.031
- Wk 9: at Texas Southern · p 0.160
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.070
- Wk 11: vs Alabama State · p 0.214
- Wk 12: at Alabama A&M · p 0.189
- Wk 14: vs (N) Southern · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at LouisianaFBS · L 10-40
- Wk 2: vs TuskegeeDII · W 37-20