Alcorn State
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#94
−6.3 pts · likely #61–113
Strength of schedule
15.0
#125 of 129
Strength of victory
11.7
#53
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
17.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at McNeese | L 14-42 | −2.8 | +1.7 | 0.247 | 3 | −27.2 |
| 5 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 42-21 | −24.2 | +1.7 | 0.016 | 4 | −1.9 |
| 6 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-28 | −17.3 | −1.7 | 0.029 | 4 | −8.3 |
| 7 | at Grambling State | W 17-15 | −0.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southern · p 0.109
- Wk 10: vs (N) Alabama State · p 0.248
- Wk 11: vs Texas Southern · p 0.111
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.094
- Wk 13: vs Jackson State · p 0.298
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 2: at VanderbiltFBS · L 0-55
- Wk 3: vs Edward WatersDII · W 38-7