Towson
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#31
+7.3 pts · likely #14–65
Strength of schedule
58.5
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
35.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.770
Opp. 87.5% · Opp. opp. 55.9%
Remaining SOS
25.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −5.6 | −1.7 | 0.134 | 3 | −0.9 |
| 3 | at Villanova | L 13-14 | +16.3 | +1.7 | 0.730 | 1 | +15.4 |
| 4 | at North Dakota State | L 24-41 | +27.0 | +1.7 | 0.910 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 6 | vs William & Mary | W 34-27 | +13.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Norfolk State · p 0.124
- Wk 8: vs Stony Brook · p 0.224
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.552
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.432
- Wk 11: vs Hampton · p 0.185
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.078
- Wk 13: at Campbell · p 0.201
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38