Morgan State
MEAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#86
−4.2 pts · likely #54–109
Strength of schedule
35.4
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
27.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 61.4%
Remaining SOS
21.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Hampton | W 30-28 | −1.6 | +1.7 | 0.272 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 2 | at Towson | L 9-14 | +9.2 | +1.7 | 0.551 | 1 | +4.0 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 3-22 | −3.1 | +1.7 | 0.240 | 3 | −18.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Merrimack · p 0.201
- Wk 9: at North Carolina Central · p 0.550
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.083
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.062
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.258
- Wk 13: vs Howard · p 0.109
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at OhioFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 56-7
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln (PA)DII · W 41-0