Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#28
+8.6 pts · likely #11–58
Strength of schedule
49.4
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
39.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 60.4%
Remaining SOS
34.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −12.5 | +1.7 | 0.089 | 4 | +15.9 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +7.6 | +1.7 | 0.509 | 1 | −10.9 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +18.2 | −1.7 | 0.695 | 1 | +28.3 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +14.3 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Montana · p 0.650
- Wk 8: vs Idaho State · p 0.205
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.460
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.185
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.080
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.339
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.482
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22