Incarnate Word
Southland · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#16
+11.4 pts · likely #7–45
Strength of schedule
39.5
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
23.0
#24
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 59.9%
Remaining SOS
39.8
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −14.4 | −1.7 | 0.044 | 4 | +5.7 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +33.9 | +1.7 | 0.964 | 1 | +13.8 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +0.3 | +1.7 | 0.318 | 2 | −3.0 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +13.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Nicholls State · p 0.368
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.252
- Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.361
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.239
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.180
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.503
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.107
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.611
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.961