North Dakota
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#11
+13.0 pts · likely #6–38
Strength of schedule
39.5
#25 of 129
Strength of victory
27.3
#17
Record SOS
0.678
Opp. 69.3% · Opp. opp. 64.7%
Remaining SOS
56.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +13.1 | −1.7 | 0.565 | 1 | +14.1 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +0.2 | −1.7 | 0.239 | 3 | +20.9 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −7.4 | −1.7 | 0.110 | 3 | +8.5 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −2.7 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.290
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.508
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.247
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.936
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.794
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.641
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21