Murray State
MVFC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#97
−6.6 pts · likely #66–114
Strength of schedule
43.0
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
1.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.633
Opp. 68.8% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
58.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | +5.4 | −1.7 | 0.359 | 2 | −0.1 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −20.0 | −1.7 | 0.019 | 4 | +10.5 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +10.8 | +1.7 | 0.595 | 1 | −20.3 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota | L 0-59 | +20.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Indiana State · p 0.247
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.552
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.856
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.961
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.498
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.383
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51