St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 5-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#100
−6.9 pts · likely #75–114
Strength of schedule
13.0
#126 of 129
Strength of victory
6.6
#106
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 40.8% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | L 10-17 | +0.8 | −2.5 | 0.235 | 3 | −8.7 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 0-64 | −4.1 | +2.5 | 0.236 | 3 | −35.0 |
| 6 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −31.5 | −2.5 | 0.002 | 4 | −21.5 |
| 7 | at Marist | W 39-32 | −26.9 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Sioux FallsDII · L 13-34
- Wk 3: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 24-14