Dayton
Pioneer · 5-5 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−11.6 pts · likely #98–121
Strength of schedule
11.6
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
9.9
#98
Record SOS
0.420
Opp. 41.6% · Opp. opp. 42.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −6.9 | −2.5 | 0.107 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −4.2 | +2.5 | 0.234 | 3 | −12.8 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −24.4 | +2.5 | 0.018 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 7 | vs Davidson | W 16-14 | −12.0 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7