Tarleton State
UAC · 10-2 vs FCS · 10-3 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#11
+12.3 pts · likely #6–30
Strength of schedule
33.2
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
32.0
#22
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 53.5% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
88.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
5-2
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | +1.0 | −2.4 | 0.241 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | −4.9 | +2.4 | 0.218 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | +2.9 | +2.4 | 0.403 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +6.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.880
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45