Central Arkansas
UAC · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#43
+5.0 pts · likely #23–61
Strength of schedule
33.2
#55 of 129
Strength of victory
22.9
#55
Record SOS
0.486
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lindenwood | W 34-13 | +0.3 | +2.4 | 0.334 | 2 | +21.6 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-17 | +5.4 | −2.4 | 0.343 | 2 | +29.8 |
| 4 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 56-17 | −17.7 | +2.4 | 0.049 | 4 | +18.7 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | W 34-14 | +0.4 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34