Indiana State
MVFC · 4-7 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#82
−3.8 pts · likely #62–103
Strength of schedule
38.4
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
24.5
#48
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 46.2% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | L 20-27 | −7.2 | +2.4 | 0.174 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 3 | vs Dayton | W 24-13 | −11.3 | −2.4 | 0.061 | 4 | −3.0 |
| 5 | vs Houston Christian | L 24-27 | −5.9 | −2.4 | 0.121 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 14-21 | +6.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 0-49