Villanova
CAA · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#15
+11.2 pts · likely #7–37
Strength of schedule
34.9
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
33.2
#19
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 49.1% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
54.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +6.3 | −2.4 | 0.363 | 2 | +10.6 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | −8.0 | +2.4 | 0.163 | 3 | +18.7 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +4.8 | −2.4 | 0.326 | 2 | +4.0 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-10 | −3.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.395
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.699
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38