Towson
CAA · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#41
+5.5 pts · likely #23–61
Strength of schedule
38.1
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
25.0
#46
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −6.3 | −2.4 | 0.114 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 3 | at Villanova | L 13-14 | +11.5 | +2.4 | 0.633 | 1 | +12.7 |
| 4 | at North Dakota State | L 24-41 | +29.1 | +2.4 | 0.937 | 1 | +13.1 |
| 6 | vs William & Mary | W 34-27 | +5.5 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38