UT Martin
OVC · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 69% of the time
Power
#18
+10.6 pts · likely #8–39
Strength of schedule
28.7
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
21.2
#59
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 50.4% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
75.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
5-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 42-45 OT | +6.8 | +2.4 | 0.508 | 1 | +5.1 |
| 3 | vs North Alabama | W 43-28 | +2.1 | −2.4 | 0.264 | 2 | +14.0 |
| 4 | vs Missouri State | L 24-31 | +13.3 | −2.4 | 0.549 | 1 | +3.2 |
| 6 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 35-17 | −3.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at New Hampshire · p 0.623
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.892
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 6-41
- Wk 5: at Kennesaw StateFBS · W 24-13