Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#40
+5.5 pts · likely #21–61
Strength of schedule
26.9
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
26.0
#42
Record SOS
0.457
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
49.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 37-15 | +3.4 | 0.0 | 0.352 | 2 | +23.5 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 45-42 OT | +11.8 | −2.4 | 0.509 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | W 38-21 | +5.7 | +2.4 | 0.478 | 2 | +24.0 |
| 5 | vs Northwestern State | W 19-0 | −26.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Illinois State · p 0.492
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 16-23