Mercer
Southern · 10-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#7
+13.1 pts · likely #5–28
Strength of schedule
24.6
#92 of 129
Strength of victory
23.7
#51
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
68.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −9.5 | −2.4 | 0.077 | 4 | +23.4 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −10.1 | +2.4 | 0.130 | 3 | +22.1 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +11.2 | +2.4 | 0.625 | 1 | +19.4 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −4.7 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.434
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.930
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 12: at AlabamaFBS · L 7-52