East Tennessee State
Southern · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#47
+4.4 pts · likely #24–67
Strength of schedule
39.3
#25 of 129
Strength of victory
29.6
#29
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +29.9 | −2.4 | 0.895 | 1 | +22.1 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +6.8 | +2.4 | 0.508 | 1 | +27.4 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −3.6 | +2.4 | 0.245 | 3 | +14.6 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 10-17 | +10.1 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0