Wagner
NEC · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−9.1 pts · likely #82–118
Strength of schedule
25.1
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
7.4
#98
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 53.4% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
15.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | +4.4 | +2.2 | 0.437 | 2 | −26.3 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −17.9 | +2.2 | 0.047 | 4 | +5.4 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | L 14-21 | −1.4 | −2.2 | 0.196 | 3 | −11.5 |
| 6 | at Stonehill | W 28-7 | −16.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.153
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7
- Wk 5: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 9: at MassachusettsFBS · L 7-35