Central Connecticut State
NEC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#72
−1.9 pts · likely #52–96
Strength of schedule
22.1
#103 of 129
Strength of victory
12.1
#89
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 39.3% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
49.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −3.4 | −2.2 | 0.160 | 3 | +23.9 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −7.3 | +2.2 | 0.169 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +8.7 | +2.2 | 0.552 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −10.4 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Duquesne · p 0.428
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.562
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35